An Loss is Unlikely…

Under Billy Beane the A’s have lost all seven of their winner-take-all games. Baseball at its simplest, like flipping a coin, means each team has a 50% chance of winning. (In six of those games, they had a better record than their opponent, so we could probably go higher than 50%.)

Beane has flipped his coin and it has come up tails seven times in a row. The odds of that happening, as surely one of the smart people in the A’s front office could tell you, is 1 in 128.

The irony of that statement, when so much the A’s philosophy is built on simple probability, is absurd. People have killed themselves over less.

Oakland Camus